D

World Cup 2026 · Moderate group

Group D

United States · Australia · Paraguay · Turkey

Four teams, six matches, two automatic Round-of-32 spots plus a chance for the third-placed side via the best-thirds rule. United States are the Kalshi market favourite to win Group D at 39%.

Market Projection

Teams ranked by implied probability of winning Group D on Kalshi prediction markets. Updates as the tournament unfolds.

1United States flag
United States

CONCACAF · FIFA #14

39%

Win Group D

2Turkey flag
Turkey

UEFA · FIFA #23

34%

Win Group D

3Paraguay flag
Paraguay

CONMEBOL · FIFA #26

18%

Win Group D

4Australia flag
Australia

AFC · FIFA #25

10%

Win Group D

Top 2 advance automatically. Third-place teams compete in a 12-group pool for 8 Round-of-32 spots.

All 6 Group D Fixtures

Every Group D match with kickoff time, venue, and host city.

Teams in Group D

Snapshot of each squad. Tap any team for the full fan guide.

United States flag

United States

CONCACAF · FIFA #14 · 🏟️ Host

The United States enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-hosts with their highest expectations in decades, powered by a golden generation of American players thriving in Europe's top leagues. Argentine coach Mauricio Pochettino has galvanised the USMNT, with Chelsea's Christian Pulisic and the emerging Gio Reyna providing genuine world-class quality. Group D alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Turkey is very winnable, and anything less than a quarterfinal run would be considered disappointing on home soil. The 1994 World Cup - also hosted by the USA - ignited soccer culture in America; the 2026 edition, with 11 co-host cities, could complete that transformation.

Base camp: Irvine, California

Australia flag

Australia

AFC · FIFA #25

Australia arrive at World Cup 2026 off the back of their best-ever tournament - a fairytale run to the quarter-finals at Qatar 2022, where they defeated Denmark and Argentina's nemesis Saudi Arabia before pushing eventual champions Argentina hard. The Socceroos, now coached by Tony Popovic, have lost key figures from that generation but retain a competitive nucleus eager to repeat or better that feat. Group D pits Australia against co-hosts United States, Paraguay, and Turkey - a competitive group where they must be at their best to qualify. Australian football is in a positive place, and a motivated Socceroos squad will be tough to beat.

Base camp: Alameda, California

Paraguay flag

Paraguay

CONMEBOL · FIFA #26

Paraguay bring a proud World Cup tradition to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, having reached the quarter-finals at South Africa 2010 where they were only eliminated by Spain. Newcastle United's Miguel Almirón, one of the Premier League's most popular midfielders, provides star quality, while the creative Julio Enciso adds dynamism. Under veteran CONMEBOL coach Gustavo Alfaro, Los Guaraníes are a disciplined, hard-working side that will be competitive in Group D against the United States, Australia, and Turkey. Paraguay's ability to organise defensively and strike on the counter-attack makes them dangerous opponents for any side.

Base camp: San Jose, California

Turkey flag

Turkey

UEFA · FIFA #23

Turkey enter World Cup 2026 with genuine ambition, having qualified via the UEFA playoffs to reach their fourth World Cup, and first since 2002 when they famously finished third. Italian coach Vincenzo Montella has revitalised the national team, built around Inter Milan's commanding Hakan Çalhanoğlu and the gifted young Real Madrid playmaker Arda Güler, who has emerged as one of Europe's most exciting talents. Group D against the United States, Australia, and Paraguay is highly competitive but navigable - Turkey have the quality to challenge anyone on their day. A new generation of Turkish stars could emulate or even better the legendary class of 2002.

Base camp: Mesa, Arizona

Path Through the Bracket

Where Group D teams land in the brand-new Round of 32, per FIFA regs §12.6.

1D · Group winner

1D faces 2J in M78

2D · Runner-up

2D faces 2H in M81

3D · Third (if best-of-12)

Third-place option pool 2. Only the top 8 of 12 third-placed teams qualify.

Why the best-thirds rule will create the most chaotic R32 ever →

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