World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Bracket
The group stage is complete and the knockout bracket is set. All 16 Round of 32 fixtures run from June 28 to July 3. Click a team in any matchup to pick the winner and build your bracket all the way to the Final on July 19.
Spain 🏆Round of 32
Jun 28 - Jul 3
Round of 16
Jul 4 - 7
Quarter-finals
Jul 9 - 11
Semi-final
Jul 14
Final · Jul 19
Champion
Spain 🏆Semi-final
Jul 15
Quarter-finals
Jul 9 - 11
Round of 16
Jul 4 - 7
Round of 32
Jun 28 - Jul 3
Click a team to pick the winner of each tie. Later rounds update from your picks. Round of 32 matchups follow FIFA's official bracket and the best-third placement table.
Knockout odds
Not sure who to pick? We simulated the whole bracket thousands of times. Re-run it, change the simulation count, and sort or filter the table to see every team's odds of reaching each round and winning it all.
Title favourite
Argentina30.3% to win it all
Safest in R32
Argentina97.4% to reach R16
Closest tie
Australia v Egypt
49.4% / 50.6%
Title odds
Probability of winning the World Cup. Hit Re-run to resimulate, or raise the simulation count to tighten the estimates.
ArgentinaSpain
England
France
Brazil
Portugal
Netherlands
Belgium
Germany
Colombia
Croatia
MoroccoHow far does each team go?
Probability (%) of reaching each round. Click a column to sort; filter by confederation below. Darker = more likely.
| Team | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▾ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 97 | 95 | 79 | 49 | 30 |
| Spain | 95 | 60 | 45 | 28 | 15 |
| England | 97 | 86 | 51 | 25 | 13 |
| France | 97 | 67 | 46 | 26 | 13 |
| Brazil | 95 | 92 | 45 | 20 | 9.7 |
| Portugal | 66 | 29 | 20 | 11 | 4.9 |
| Netherlands | 68 | 65 | 28 | 12 | 4.8 |
| Belgium | 84 | 71 | 27 | 12 | 4.2 |
| Germany | 96 | 33 | 17 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Colombia | 97 | 67 | 16 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Croatia | 34 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Morocco | 32 | 31 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
 Switzerland | 89 | 32 | 4.7 | 0.8 | · |
 Mexico | 58 | 9.0 | 2.1 | · | · |
 Ecuador | 42 | 4.6 | 0.7 | · | · |
 United States | 94 | 21 | 1.6 | · | · |
 South Africa | 17 | 0.5 | · | · | · |
 Canada | 83 | 3.6 | · | · | · |
 Paraguay | 4.2 | · | · | · | · |
 Japan | 4.9 | 3.1 | · | · | · |
 Sweden | 3.0 | · | · | · | · |
 Ivory Coast | 27 | 0.9 | · | · | · |
 Norway | 73 | 4.5 | · | · | · |
 DR Congo | 2.8 | · | · | · | · |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6.2 | · | · | · | · |
 Senegal | 16 | 8.6 | 0.8 | · | · |
 Austria | 4.9 | 0.5 | · | · | · |
 Algeria | 12 | 0.8 | · | · | · |
 Cape Verde | 2.6 | · | · | · | · |
 Ghana | 2.8 | · | · | · | · |
 Australia | 49 | 2.6 | · | · | · |
 Egypt | 51 | 2.5 | · | · | · |
Every Round of 32 tie, and why
Each team's chance of advancing, plus the model's expected goals (xG). The xG gap is the "why" behind the advance probability.
South AfricaCanadaGermanyParaguayNetherlandsMoroccoBrazilJapanFranceSwedenIvory CoastNorwayMexicoEcuadorEnglandDR CongoUnited StatesBosnia and HerzegovinaBelgiumSenegalPortugalCroatiaSpainAustriaSwitzerlandAlgeriaArgentinaCape VerdeColombiaGhanaAustraliaEgyptConfederation breakdown
Expected Round of 16 qualifiers per confederation (sum of advance probabilities; totals 16).
How the Round of 32 works
The 2026 World Cup is the first with 48 teams, so the knockout stage opens with a Round of 32 instead of a Round of 16. The 12 group winners and 12 runners-up advance automatically, joined by the 8 best third-placed teams across all groups. That is 32 teams, paired by FIFA's published bracket so no two teams from the same group can meet again until later rounds.
Want to go deeper? Run full match simulations on the bracket predictor, check the final group standings, or see the complete match schedule.